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3 Random Tidbits

Critical Thinking.

3 random tidbits in about 5 minutes.

1.

A Critical Thinking FAQ.

Subject: Cognitive Bias.
Present bias is the pull to choose what feels good now over what serves us later. Weigh both, and train yourself to prefer long-term benefit over short term pleasures.

To clarify.

The prisoner choosing bread over a key is not immoral, nor irrational in a simple sense. This familiar example of present bias shows how we all are pulled toward immediate relief over distant payoff. Some of your life’s hardest choices will pit short-term comfort against long-term benefit. Choose long-term benefit when you can.

Now, the details…

While philosophical thought experiments like this are often used to explore human behavior—suggesting that immediate survival (the bread) is prioritized over long-term freedom (the key)—this scenario is also a great example of present bias. Present bias is a common cognitive bias that leads us to favor immediate rewards over long-term benefits, even when the long-term outcomes are far more valuable.

In my writing, I often focus on the Epicurean idea of favoring long-term pleasures over short-term ones. I think Epicureanism’s dichotomy of pleasure resonates surprisingly well with the modern idea of present bias—two millennia after it was crafted! One example I like to use is learning to favor the satisfaction of a committed, long-term relationship over the fleeting excitement of an affair.

Another clear example of present bias is choosing to spend money on unnecessary luxuries today instead of saving for retirement. When you opt for the thrill of buying a new gadget or dining at an expensive restaurant instead of putting money aside, you’re giving in to present bias.

A final example of present bias can be seen in health decisions. Eating fast food or skipping exercise may provide instant gratification or relief from effort, but these choices often come at the cost of long-term health and well-being.

Whether you view this concept through the ancient lens of Epicurean philosophy or the modern understanding of present bias, it shapes countless decisions in our daily lives—often pulling us toward choices that satisfy us now but fail to serve us in the future.

 


That Critical Thinking FAQ, 

was first published on TST 1 year ago.

The flashcard inspired by it is this.

Front: What cognitive bias explains choosing immediate rewards over long-term benefits?
Back: Present bias..

 

2.

A Critical Thinking Quote.

From History:
Subject: Belief.
Confidence should rise with support, not desire.

Now, to be clear.

A clear thinker does not believe harder just because an idea feels meaningful, familiar, or comforting. Belief should be proportional to evidence, logic, testing, and trustworthy guidance. Think well by letting confidence grow only when support earns it.

Now, the details…

In 1739, when Hume wrote:

“A wise man proportions his belief to the evidence.”

Hume was not saying smart people believe nothing. He is not telling us to become frozen skeptics, afraid to trust anything. He is saying belief should be earned. Let confidence rise, but make it rise for a reason.

That is the science-first spirit. You do not commit first and defend later. You let evidence, logic, testing, and good authority do their work. Some ideas deserve strong belief. Some deserve light belief. Some deserve no belief yet.

That is believing well: proportion your confidence to the support.

 


That Critical Thinking Quote, 

was first published on TST 2 weeks ago.

The flashcard inspired by it is this.

Front: What is a claimed violation of nature?
Back: A miracle.

 

3.

A Critical Thinking Story.

From History:
Subject: Idea of Ideas.
New Look
When encountering new information, first ask: is it empirical, rational, or irrational? Then think about how much you believe it.

Briefly.

After you categorize an idea as empirically true, rationally true, or currently false, you can then start to calibrate your belief in it. Even ideas in the irrational category may deserve some degree of belief, depending on the evidence, context, and the limits of what is currently known.

Now, the details…

30 Philosophers, Chapter 18, Peter Abelard, Touchstone 47: The Idea of Ideas.

The Idea of Ideas is a new look at epistemology. It asserts empirical, rational, and irrational entities exist in the Material World, independent of the minds of beings who can discover, label, and use them as ideas. When this theory refers to “beings,” it’s referring to any entity with advanced cognitive abilities or with the capacity for abstract thinking, whether here on Earth or not, as well as certain advanced AI systems. In this framework, the terms “ideas” and “mental constructs” are interchangeable. Both serve as the cognitive tools that beings use to make sense of the Material World. Both are mental models used to build representations and understanding whether empirical, rational, or speculative.

It implies many metaphysical things that help bridge science, philosophy, and fiction. Ideas represent entities like physical matter and energy, things on Earth like dirt, the color red, gravity, and even things we detect with tools like radio waves. Ideas can be rational like logic, justice, and beauty, or irrational like Valhalla, or a fictional realm like the Forbidden Forest in Harry Potter. The best part is that this framework allows you to easily determine if something is empirically true, rationally true, or falls into the irrational category.

 


That Critical Thinking Story, 

was first published on TST 2 years ago.

The flashcard inspired by it is this.

 

The end. Refresh for another set.

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Writing and coding by Michael Alan Prestwood.
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