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How do I know what is true and what is just an opinion?

Wed 18 Sep 2024
Published 2 years ago.
Updated 2 weeks ago.
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How do I know what is true and what is just an opinion?

In today’s world of endless information, it’s easy to feel overwhelmed by conflicting claims. So, how do you separate fact from opinion? Understanding different types of reasoning, like inductive and abductive, can help.

Take the statement

“The Earth orbits the Sun.”

This is an objective claim backed by scientific evidence gathered through inductive reasoning—scientists observed patterns over time that led to this conclusion. Inductive reasoning builds general truths based on repeated observations.

But what if you don’t have repeated evidence? That’s when abductive reasoning comes into play. It involves making the best possible guess based on available information. For example, if you hear hoofbeats, you assume it’s a horse, not a zebra, because horses are more common. Abductive reasoning helps us make practical assumptions when we lack certainty.

To evaluate truth, ask yourself: Is this claim supported by solid evidence (inductive reasoning)? Or is it a logical guess based on what’s likely (abductive reasoning)? Understanding these can help you discern what’s fact and what’s opinion.

— map / TST —

Michael Alan Prestwood
Author & Natural Philosopher
Prestwood writes on science-first philosophy, with particular attention to the convergence of disciplines. Drawing on his TST Framework, his work emphasizes rational inquiry grounded in empirical observation while engaging questions at the edges of established knowledge. With TouchstoneTruth positioned as a living touchstone, this work aims to contribute reliable, evolving analysis in an emerging AI era where the credibility of information is increasingly contested.
The Prestwood Column
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July 2026
»COLUMN ARCHIVE
--COLUMN--
Column Research….
1. Timeline Story
The famous Lewis “Truth in Fiction” Paper
2. Linked Quote
“Truth is stranger than fiction…[which] is obliged to stick to possibilities;”
3. Science FAQ »
Why does fiction feel real?
4. Philosophy FAQ »
Can authors create fiction beyond our universe?
5. Critical Thinking FAQ »
How do we know what is true in a fictional world?
6. History FAQ!
What is the history of philosophy of fiction?
Bonus Deep-Dive Article
TST Philosophy of Fiction: Imaginative Realism

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