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Does Musk’s Mars vision highlight poor reasoning?

By Michael Alan Prestwood

Author and Natural Philosopher

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Does Musk’s Mars vision highlight poor reasoning?

Elon Musk’s vision to colonize Mars is undoubtedly ambitious and inspiring, but it also highlights significant flaws in his reasoning. Is Musk the richest man on Earth because he’s a genius, or because he’s opportunistic, a master marketer, and, perhaps, very lucky? Regardless, his drive to prioritize Mars colonization is just another example that reveals his fundamentally flawed thinking abilities. Let’s explore why his mission to make humanity a multi-planetary species is more misplaced than revolutionary.

The challenges of establishing a sustainable human presence on Mars are immense—harsh radiation, extreme cold, and a lack of breathable air, to name a few. While Musk argues that colonizing Mars is essential to preserve “consciousness,” this assumes that Earth is doomed and that humans are the sole stewards of consciousness. This anthropocentric view overlooks the possibility that consciousness may exist elsewhere, as discussed in The Fermi Paradox is Too Anthropocentric.

As for terraforming Mars? That’s not really a question for our generation—or even the next few. According to my TST Futurism Timeline, the process of terraforming Mars is unlikely to begin until around the year 3825, give or take several centuries. And here’s the key point: if humanity develops the technology to terraform an entire planet, fixing the challenges we face on Earth would be far easier and more practical in comparison. Colonizing Mars is exciting, but it shouldn’t come at the expense of addressing urgent issues here on Earth. 

Finally, building space stations between Earth and Mars could be a more practical stepping stone. Stations around the Earth, Moon, and Mars would provide critical infrastructure and valuable experience for interplanetary endeavors without committing prematurely to Mars’ gravity well.

The race to Mars is ambitious, but it’s not a shortcut to saving humanity. Real innovation and the next steps beyond Earth clearly lie with a network of space stations—something NASA is quietly pursuing. If we can’t sustain life in isolated space stations, how can we hope to thrive on a barren, hostile planet?
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